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The Hierarchial Economy (or "Why I Don't Have a Girlfriend, Part #575125671")
R. Alex Whitlock
[Posted on the Original RAWbservations]
A little while back, I was perusing KAZAA for a couple missing Matchbox Twenty songs (note to
Owen: I have already purchased their entire collection). It's not uncommon for files to be mislabeled, so I searched for Rob Thomas (lead singer) to see what came up. One extremely large file called "4 Millionaire Next Door." Thinking to myself that there may be a song I didn't know about (and that it might be a mislabeled .wav justifying the size), I downloaded it.
Apparently, it was an excerpt from Robert J. Stanley's well-known
Millionaire Next Door series. However, once it was playing, I couldn't bring myself to delete it. It was just too... interesting.
Methinks perhaps I am a bit of a nerd and that might explain my lack of a social life, but I listened to the entire half hour, captivated by Stanley's speculations about where the economy was headed.
What he said, quite optomistically, I found quite disturbing.
What it mostly came down to was that the rich were going to get richer and that the job opportunities for the less wealthy would primarily be serving the rich. As the rich get richer, the boom industry will be in wealthy luxuries and narrow services. For instance, he suggested that someone looking to make a lot of money go into law school. "But aren't there too many lawyers?" he was asked. No, he explained, there are too many people with law degrees. There are too many plaintiff's attourneys and defense attorneys, but not enough estate attourneys and retained attourneys under one or two (uberwealthy) employer. Medical school is another option, though not to be a surgeon or general medical practitioner (of which there are plenty), but rather a doctor specializing in the needs of the wealthy. Enough dentists, not enough orthodontists. Enough demotologists, not enough plastic surgeons, and so on.
Once I recalled who the author was and what he was selling, I tried to just dismiss him as another late-night get-rich-quick infomercialite. The more I thought about it, though, the more he really was convincing before he got to his sales pitch. The numbers he through out and rationale he used were sound. When it ended, I found myself feeling rather concerned.
Now, I'm pro-capitalist and don't have a problem with people amassing large amounts of money, so it wasn't a sense of injustice that got to me. It was a sense of fragility. The economy that he described in the first half is one in which not only do the wealthy get wealthier, but it's going to be required to keep the economy going. The rich will have to get richer or there will be a lot of people who got in the career of serving them out of work. It doesn't take an economist to know that when times get bad, it's the luxury providers that get hit most of all. Bologni sales go up, veil sales go down.
The Millionaire Next Door was written during the height of the economic boom, so much of it may not apply anymore. Had it continued (or if this is just a blip and things will return to normal), the economy that Stanley prognosticated would return. An economy in which a significant proportion of the GDP goes towards catering to the super-wealthy. Maybe that wouldn't be such a bad thing and I'm worried over nothing. After all, if a middle to upper-middle class can be provided by serving the wealthy, isn't that better than no middle class or upper-middle class at all? If people can get work serving the wealthy where they otherwise wouldn't do as well, is that not a good thing? Ideologically, I'd say it's a good thing. I just can't get myself to believe that such a vertical plantation-style (not referring to slavery, just structure) economy is such a good thing. It doesn't produce anything. Then again, a lot of what we do (all the service-based industries, whomever they are servicing) doesn't actually produce anything and I've had little reason to complain so far. I even applaud it in some cases where it gives the poor jobs they otherwise wouldn't have (such as lawn care).
So I'm stumped. What do y'all think? Am I turning into a pink hippie liberal or does anyone else see this as a little disturbing?
 
Observations
 
Dear Liberal Hippie Commie Bastard,
This is actually a door I see open for Democrats to step through, and one I'd love to see Dems take a more active role in enunciating. No, not slamming every tax cut as a sop to the rich ... but expanding opportunities for small business. To me, THAT is the antidote to all of this. Maybe cuz I have a prediliction towards thinking it'd be kinda cool to run one's own business, rather than be a lacky in another's operation. But I think if one were to spend more time talking about the need to encourage entreprenuerial growth, then we wouldn't have to worry about the growth in jobs to serve the wealthy.
You encourage a million flowers to bloom, rather than spending all your resources on a few big oak trees (stable or not, this is about reaching and affecting more people, not less) and you've got the sort of growth in the economy that we saw in the early/mid 90s.
Greg Wythe | Email | Homepage | 01.29.03 - 11:04 am | #
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I don't think there is much of a middle or upper-middle class anymore. I think class is coming down to two - wealthy and not wealthy. I personally think the Nation was much better of when it was a real manufacturing economy. SOmehow I think that steel, and autos, and other "heavy" manufacturing created real opportunity. I view the service or information industries as too fragile, but then so was steel, I guess.
I don't think you're moving to the left, but I think you are thinking about what may be real flaws in our economy. An interesting debate.
Martin | Email | Homepage | 01.29.03 - 11:38 am | #
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I'm far less convinced of a divergence, but I'd have to go back and dig up my econ stats (yes, I have them bookmarked ... reason #5,864,258,645 why I'm still single) to prove the point.
I think there's still a vibrant mid/upper-middle class, but what opportunities are there, and what incentives (other than personal freedom) are there to go out and start a new business from this point forward? Recessions eventually bounce back, and what may seem like a dearth of opportunities may brighten soon enough. But it doesn't happen by waving a wand (or even an invisible hand).
Greg Wythe | Email | Homepage | 01.29.03 - 12:20 pm | #
 
Hmmm... this just seems illogical to me. Sure, there are a lot of wealthy people, but the nature of the beast is for there to be percentage-wise fewer truly wealthy than anyone else. Who is going to be a dentist for the estate attorney's kids? Are you saying the estate attorney is wealthy? What is the goal here, and how can you say that we're heading in the wrong direction? And isn't the situation you described in a sense self-correcting in a capitalist society, which is what actually happened?
I think the spread of have nots, have somes and have lots is in many ways the fruit of the welfare ghetto the liberals in the country have built with the able and vocal assistance of the teachers' unions and the professional race-victim "leaders". What we need is a society where everyone can read, where no one feels that just breathing gives them the right to a television and $150 Nikes, where everyone has not just the right to dream dreams but the tools of both skills and character to realize those dreams. Where your race is something else cool about you, like the fact that you can cook Thai like a chef and collect silver doorknobs, not a matter of "good" or "better". And a society where we focus less on who has more than me, and more on how I can be a better, more productive person with the earned right to feel good about myself at the end of the day. This class and wealth envy is a cancer that will eat up this society.
Clearly I need to blog on this.
susanna | Email | Homepage | 01.29.03 - 2:23 pm | #
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Wow, I never knew there was a connection between teacher's unions and poverty. Where have I been spending my time?
Greg Wythe | Email | Homepage | 01.29.03 - 3:29 pm | #
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Well, Greg, that's an excellent question. Clearly not exploring reality.
susanna | Email | Homepage | 01.29.03 - 3:38 pm | #
 
Alex, it's not really the end of the world with regard to the role of attorneys for the "uber-wealthy." We have a few attorneys that specialize in that sort of a relationship at my firm, and a lot of what I do as a divorce attorney (wealth preservation and lifestyle reconstruction) is based on the needs of high income clients. The thing is, though, that what I learn from representing the rich also applies to the poor, in some sense. Thus, when I do a discovery expedition regarding accounts and movements of money, it works with rich and poor, because (regardless of wealth) people tend to think in similar manners. Similarly, plastic surgeons are able to apply the lessons learned in doing facelifts and such to burn victims, children with cleft palates, and reconstructive surgery. The rich, in effect, lead the charge to new ideas in law and medicine (well, outside of criminal law, which is a crapshoot with regard to wealth), and the lessons learned therein get applied to the rest of society. In other words, I think it all works out in the end.
As for the growth of the service industry, it's interesting to note that many people in lower income levels are taking advantage of service products, just as the rich do. Many of our peers (and, unfortunately, given my lack of neatness) use cleaning services. Damn near all of my neighbors (once again, but for me) have lawn services. The services have gotten less expensive and more inclusive. That may be a good thing, overall.
TPB, Esq. | Email | Homepage | 01.29.03 - 4:08 pm | #
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Susanna is correct when she says that we need a society where "everyone can read, where no one feels that just breathing gives them the right to a television and $150 Nikes, where everyone has not just the right to dream dreams but the tools of both skills and character to realize those dreams." Amen to that. But I don't think that society exists right now. And it isn't the teachers' fault, or victims of discrimination's fault, or my fault or Susanna's fault - gosh, it must be Bill Clinton's fault
But she is right. I think we just may disagree on how we get to that society.
And I don't think there is as much envy as Susanna suggests. Because most of us think we may one day be part of that "upper middle class." So we don't necessarily begrudge anyone the fruits of their labor.
But I DO think there will be class conflict as the middle class continues to erode. There is not the upward mobility that existed say 25 years ago.
Or maybe I'm just living in the past. And I think Susanna should blog about this.
Martin | Email | Homepage | 01.29.03 - 4:19 pm | #
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You win this round, Whitlock, but I'm keeping my eye on you and your "file sharing."
Owen Courrèges | Email | Homepage | 01.30.03 - 12:11 am | #
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We have unmistakable proof that throughout all past time, there has been a ceaseless devouring of the weak by the strong.
http://www.oliviagadamer.com
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